Author: Louisa Tran

Looking for Round 3 winners? See this post! The results are in! Replication Markets Round 2 finished on October 27, and since then we have been analyzing the results to determine the most accurate forecasters for the Surveys. We have 37 winners! Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to…

No surveys, no markets…it may look like a quiet week at Replication Markets, but there’s  a lot happening behind the scenes at RM HQ. We are preparing 300 new claims from 18 journals, including at least one that “successfully” hit mainstream media. (That’s the only clue we can give you until opening day.)  We continue…

Here at Replication Markets, we advise our forecasters to “use ’em or lose ’em!” in reference to points on the market. I’ve run out of points! Anonymous Forecaster HOWEVER, the markets are open for another week, so if you’ve already spent most of your points…you may want to free some up.  Not sure how to…

Round 2 Markets opened on Monday! New this round: you can filter by the claims that you assessed via survey! To see them after you log in, click on “All Claims,” then check the “My Surveys” box. Forecasters started the round with 300 points to spend on trades. Use them or lose them! Points reset at…

How do I start? Log in: https://predict.replicationmarkets.com/main/#!/login Consider viewing one of our intro videos before forecasting: Intro to the Prediction Market Main Page Making a forecast on the Prediction Market  Make a mistake? Revise an estimate on the Prediction Market Run out of points? Reallocate points across claims In this round, we examine a selection…

The results are in! Replication Markets Round 1 finished on September 29, and since then we have been analyzing the results to determine the most accurate forecasters for the Surveys. We have 78 winners! October 31 update: forecasters listed in red below have not yet claimed their prize! Because the markets will take nearly a…

Surveys open on October 7, 12:00 UTC Round 2 Surveys feature claims from economics, marketing, political science, and psychology. Registered forecasters who completed their intake surveys by 23:59 UTC on October 3 are eligible to take the surveys and compete for the $3,200 in prizes. On the topic of prizes… Eligible forecasters are assigned a batch of…