Welcome to Round 5 Markets! In this round of Markets, we continue to examine the claims from the 19 journals of Round 5’s surveys. For a complete list, see our blog post. Timeline for Round 5 Prediction markets will be available from Monday, January 13, 12:00 UTC until Sunday, January 26, 23:59 UTC. Trading is…
The results are in! Replication Markets Round 4 finished on December 22, and since then we have been analyzing the results to determine the most accurate forecasters for the Surveys. We have 28 winners! Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth, we award prizes each Round to…
Happy new year! Welcome to Round 5! Prediction surveys and prediction markets have different advantages. We open each round with surveys to get your baseline opinion before interaction in the markets influence your evaluation. If you completed your demographics survey, your claim surveys are live! Surveys let us know what you think before the markets…
One more week of Round 4 Markets! Round 4 Markets are open until December 22, 23:59 UTC. This round’s claims come from 20 journals … see the complete list here. Coming soon to the RM platform! An API for automated trading is almost ready. Interested? Write to us with the subject line “BOT API” User interface…
The results are in! Replication Markets Round 3 finished on November 24, and since then we have been analyzing the results to determine the most accurate forecasters for the Surveys. We have 42 winners! Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth, we award prizes each Round to…
Welcome to Round 4 Markets! In this round of Markets, we continue to examine the claims from the 20 journals of the Survey round. For a complete list, see our blog post. Timeline for Round 4 Prediction markets will be available from Monday, December 9, 12:00 UTC until Sunday, December 22, 23:59 UTC. “Say a few…
Welcome to Round 4! Prediction surveys and prediction markets have different advantages. We open each round with surveys to get your baseline opinion before interaction in the markets influence your evaluation. If you completed your demographics survey, your claim surveys are live! Surveys let us know what you think before the markets open. In this…
One more week of Round 3 Markets! Round 3 Markets are open until November 24, 23:59 UTC. This round’s claims come from 18 journals … see the complete list here. Bonus points awarded! When Round 3 Markets opened, 203 of our forecasters got a bonus: 30 extra points to invest in the markets! Forecasters who trade enough on…
Welcome to Round 3 Markets! In this round of Markets, we continue to examine the claims from the 18 journals of the Survey round. For a complete list, see our blog post.Timeline for Round 3 Prediction markets will be available from Monday, November 11, 12:00 UTC until Sunday, November 24, 23:59 UTC.Platform updates in Round 3:We…
Welcome to Round 3! We begin each Round with a week of surveys. The combined individual assessments of our forecasters sets the baseline for the crowdsourced opinion in the Markets. It’s an important part of the RM process! That’s why we award money for accurate insights in Survey rounds. In this round, we examine claims…
