In this round of Markets, we continue to examine the claims from the 18 journals of the Survey round.
For a complete list, see our blog post.
Timeline for Round 3
Prediction markets will be available from Monday, November 11, 12:00 UTC until Sunday, November 24, 23:59 UTC.
Platform updates in Round 3:
We partnered with scite to test their AI citation classification system. Each claim now has a scite link to see its citations in context. Let us know how this new resource works for you!
We added leaderboards to track Markets vs. Surveys and per-Round scores. Read here for more details.
Trading is open for two weeks, after which the market is frozen until the final result is known. From each round only about 10 markets will resolve and pay out. DARPA will begin to reveal those resolved markets in mid-2020. For more details, read Explanation of Payouts.To compete for more immediate payouts, make sure to participate in Survey weeks! Round 4 surveys open December 2.