How do I start? Log in: https://predict.replicationmarkets.com/main/#!/login Consider viewing one of our intro videos before forecasting: Intro to the Prediction Market Main Page Making a forecast on the Prediction Market In this round, we examine a selection of claims from the following journals, in papers published 2009-2018. American Journal of Political Science Experimental Economics Journal…
Welcome to Round 1! In this round, we examine a selection of claims from the following journals, in papers published 2009-2018. American Journal of Political Science Experimental Economics Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science Journal of Consumer Research Journal of Experimental Political Science Journal of Experimental Social Psychology Journal of Marketing Research Journal of…
First results are in! The results are in for Round 0 Surveys… We had good participation, with 226 participants providing us answers to 12 surveys. Keep it up! Although we won’t show the survey estimates just yet, they were similar to the market estimates — a good sign. Because the markets will take nearly a…
Round 0 Update Round 0 of Replication Markets closed on Sunday evening here on US East Coast. Between the surveys and the markets, the RM team has a lot of data about meta-claims to sort through. We are calculating winners of Round 0 Surveys. Look for that announcement next week! A bit of data for…
Important Prize Clarifications The total prize amount for a Round is determined by the number of resolving claims in that Round. Payout is proportional to all winning shares in the round, not per-claim. The Round 0 Market will pay $360 x 12 = $4,320 total. If you have 5% of winning shares, you will get 5% of $4,320 = $216, regardless…
