Surveys, Markets, and Claims

By Louisa Tran

We have heard from our forecasters, and you have questions!  Where’s the prediction market? Short answer: it will open after the surveys close. Why are we taking surveys? Short answer: to be eligible for prize money paid out monthly! …And for science. Read on to learn more… The RM project is structured in Rounds of…

Predicting Replication of Published Studies

By Louisa Tran

The social and behavioral sciences, some say, have a “replication crisis.” When researchers attempt to reproduce results of published papers, sometimes the original conclusions do not hold up. Replication studies are conducted using the same methods and standards laid out in the published paper. They use new participants and often a larger sample size. Researchers…

On the Replication Crisis

By Thomas Pfeiffer

“Standing on the shoulders of giants” – this phrase, attributed to Bernard of Chartres and prominently used by Isaac Newton, emphasises the role of past discoveries in ongoing scientific research.  For modern research, where communication is predominately done through scientific publications, a high reliability of published findings is instrumental. Yet surprisingly little is known about…