If you’re used to financial markets, you may wonder where the “Buy” and “Sell” buttons are. Most markets focus on buying and selling, and determine the price (probability) under the hood. We use the same formula, but focus on the probability (price), determining shares under the hood. To the right of the image below, you…
Anna Dreber Almenberg, part of Replication Markets’ experiment design team, is the Johan Björkman Professor of Economics at the Stockholm School of Economics. She took time recently to answer a few questions about her interest in the field of research replication. What got you thinking about replications and markets? For me it all started when…
If you’ve just read What is a high-quality replication, you know that our replications will be high-power — usually much higher than the original study — but not quite the “100 replications” ideal set out by DARPA: Assume 100 replications of this study were performed, and a weighted average of their results (i.e., a meta-analysis) was…
Replication Markets is a government funded research project to forecast the outcomes of thousands of potential social science replications to be done from mid-2019 to mid-2020.
From the replication crisis to forecasting to prediction markets, the Replication Markets project covers a broad range of intellectual territory. Explore our recommended reading to learn more.
