Resolutions for C19 Markets

See the proposed resolutions for the C19 Preprint forecasts.

[LINK to main RM blog]

January 21, 2022


Some eye candy summarizing market movements for the Citation and the No Publication markets.


November 24, 2020

Preprints Survey Winners

Replication Markets COVID-19 Preprints markets closed today, November 20, and we are pleased to announce the winners of the survey predictions.. …. [LINK]

November 20, 2020

Nearly Sure-Thing Markets

Preprint Forecasters: Hey! We know you’re busy, but did you know dozens of you are leaving free prizes on the table? …. [LINK]

November 16, 2020

Markets relaunch and things to know

Good news! The markets reopened today (11/12) around 12:00 UTC.

Better news – you should have exactly as many points as you did before!


November 12, 2020

Q&A about our questions

One of our forecasters wrote in with quesitons, and we figured that others would appreciate the answers. …. [LINK]

November 11, 2020

Will COVID-19 studies replicate?

Replication Markets recently estimated replication probabilities for 100 COVID-19 studies from the social and behavioral sciences. We don’t have all the results yet, but let’s see what our forecasters thought. …. [LINK]

November 1, 2020

Getting a MultiChoice Forecast Just Right

This example is just to give you a feel for linked multi-choice questions…


October 20, 2020

Multichoice “Publication” Markets

On our COVID-19 preprint market, each preprint has 4 associated questions: 1 on Citations, and 3 linked Publication questions… [LINK]

October 19, 2020

Replication Markets’ New Experiment: Evaluating COVID-19 Preprints

Replication Markets (RM) invites citizen scientists to make forecasts about COVID-19 preprints that have been discussed on social media…. [LINK]

October 15, 2020

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This research is supported (in part) by the Fetzer Franklin Fund of the John E. Fetzer Memorial Trust. It uses a platform developed for DARPA SCORE, and some staff are supported by SCORE while working on this. We are grateful for their support.

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