Replication Markets Blog

SCORE Markets (Rounds 1-10, plus 0 & 11): I waited as long as possible to maximize the number of completed replications, but we now have

Hello forecasters! A quick status update Survey prizes paid out as planned, but we’re still awaiting final December resolutions to let us pay out the

Replication Markets recently estimated replication probabilities for 100 COVID-19 studies from the social and behavioral sciences. We don’t have all the results yet, but let’s

Surrogate scoring rules (SSR) is the method we used to score forecasters for accuracy in our survey. We encourage all forecasters to watch our short

Replication Markets Round 11 finished September 28. The research team analyzed the data and is happy to announce 17 winners. Because the markets will take nearly