Replication Markets Blog

The resolutions for the prediction market for the 400 preprints related to COVID-19 have been finalized, and prizes have been calculated. Winners have been notified

Review In late 2020 we asked forecasters to predict the fate of 400 popular COVID-19 preprints posted to bioRxiv and medRxiv between January and September of that

In November of 2020, Replication Markets ran a prediction market for 400 preprints related to COVID-19. Categories included Epidemiology, Infectious Diseases, Immunology, Microbiology, and Public

When Replication Markets launched in 2019, we could not have expected the global interruptions that affected our project timeline. Finally, we are ready to resolve

We expected to announce prizes this week, but co-pilot efforts just ran slowly and after verifying Rounds 1-11, today we found a small discrepancy in

The Replication Markets team expects to begin prize announcements by 8-NOV.  We are double-checking points distribution and prize values, and will do a last check