Recommended Reading

From the replication crisis to forecasting to prediction markets, the Replication Markets project covers a broad range of intellectual territory. Below you will find articles we recommend to get you started.

“In Psychology And Other Social Sciences, Many Studies Fail The Reproducibility Test,” from National Public Radio

The world of social science got a rude awakening a few years ago, when researchers concluded that many studies in this area appeared to be deeply flawed. Two-thirds could not be replicated in other labs.

“Psychology’s Replication Crisis” from The Atlantic

Psychology’s replication crisis is running out of excuses. Another big project has found that only half of studies can be repeated. And this time, the usual explanations fall flat.

“Prediction Market, Simply Explained” from Hackernoon

Prediction Markets are basically Futures Markets… you place a bet on the probability of a specific event happening in a specific situation, such as elections, sale of companies, price fluctuations or even changes in the climate.

“Predicting Weak Studies in Psychology” from The Atlantic

Online bettors can sniff out weak psychology studies. So why can’t the journals that publish them?

“Superforecasting” from Psychology Today

The gutsy move Psychology needs to make. Can psychologists learn from research on intelligence analysts?

“Evidence of Good Forecasting Practices” from AI Impacts

Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgement Project.

“DARPA Aims to Score Social and Behavioral Research” from Social Science Space

Outside observers have identified a wider collateral benefit to the academy from the proposal – a tool to address the so-called replication crisis in social science.

“DARPA Wants to Solve Science’s Replication Crisis with AI” from Wired

Vast swaths of the social sciences … don’t replicate—which is to say, if someone else does the same experiment, they get different (often contradictory) results. The scientific term for that is bad.

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