Welcome to Round 10!

In this round, we examine 304 claims (published 2009-2018) from 31 journals: 

American Journal of Sociology
British Journal of Political Science
Evolution and Human Behavior
Experimental Economics
Health Psychology
Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology
Journal of Experimental Political Science
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
Journal of Marriage and Family
Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science
Social Science & Medicine
Journal of Financial Economics
Computers & Education


Contemporary Educational Psychology
Journal of Political Economy
The Quarterly Journal of Economics
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
Educational Researcher
European Journal of Personality
Management Science
Organization Science
Psychological Medicine
Social Forces
Journal of Management
Learning and Instruction
Public Administration Review
Review of Financial Studies
World Development

Note for Round 10:

  • In previous Rounds, a batch of surveys consisted of 10 claims from one journal.
  • In this Round, a batch may have 9 – 11 surveys from up to five related journals.
  • Round 10 has 30 batches of surveys.

Prediction surveys and prediction markets have different advantages. We open each Round with surveys to get your baseline opinion before interactions in the markets influence your evaluation.

R10 Surveys pieces




Round 10 Surveys will pay $4,800. That’s 160 for each of 30 batches of surveys, as $80 / $40 / $20 / $20 for the Top 4 forecasters in each batch.

The more batches of surveys you complete, the more you are eligible to win. Round 10 Survey winners will be announced after Round Markets close August 17. (Markets pay out separately, and not until later in 2020, possibly 2021. For more details, read Explanation of Payouts.


Where do I find the surveys?


  1. Log in to the market here: https://predict.replicationmarkets.com.
  2. Your assigned surveys will appear on your page, underneath the banner with directions. Only forecasters who have completed the required intake survey will have assigned surveys.
  3. To be eligible to win prize money, you must complete at least one batch of surveys.
  4. If you want to be eligible for more prizes, complete more batches of surveys. After you complete your first batch of surveys, another batch will appear on your page. Only complete the number of surveys that you want to complete.


Timeline for Round 10


  • Round 10 surveys are available from now, Monday, July 27, 12:00 UTC until Monday, August 3, 06:00 UTC. (Monday, 2 am on the US East Coast.)
  • You may take the surveys in several sittings provided you use the same browser and keep the cookies Qualtrics uses to track your progress.
  • Round 10 Prediction Market will be available from Monday, August 3, 12:00 UTC until Monday, August 17, 06:00 UTC (Monday, 2 am on the US East Coast).