Welcome to Round 8!

In this round, we examine 330 claims (published 2009-2018) from 26 journals: 

Academy of Management Journal
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
American Economic Review
Child Development
Clinical Psychological Science
Comparative Political Studies
Computers & Education
Contemporary Educational Psychology
Educational Researcher
European Sociological Review
Exceptional Children
Journal of Educational Psychology
Journal of Financial Economics
Journal of Labor Economics
Journal of Management
Journal of Political Economy
Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Learning and Instruction
Management Science
Organization Science
Public Administration Review
Review of Financial Studies
Social Forces
The Journal of Finance
The Leadership Quarterly
World Development

Prediction surveys and prediction markets have different advantages. We open each Round with surveys to get your baseline opinion before interactions in the markets influence your evaluation.

Round 8 Survey people




Round 8 Surveys will pay $5,280. That’s 160 for each of 33 batches of surveys, as $80 / $40 / $20 / $20 for the Top 4 forecasters in each batch.

The more batches of surveys you complete, the more you are eligible to win. Round 8 Survey winners will be announced after Round Markets close later this month. (Markets pay out separately, and not until later in 2020. For more details, read Explanation of Payouts.


Where do I find the surveys?


  1. Log in to the market here: https://predict.replicationmarkets.com.
  2. Your assigned surveys will appear on your page, underneath the banner with directions. Only forecasters who have completed the required intake survey will have assigned surveys.
  3. To be eligible to win prize money, you must complete at least one batch of surveys.
  4. If you want to be eligible for more prizes, complete more batches of surveys. After you complete your first batch of surveys, another batch will appear on your page. Only complete the number of surveys that you want to complete.


Timeline for Round 8


  • Round 8 surveys are available from now, Monday, June 1, 12:00 UTC until Monday, June 8, 06:00 UTC. (Monday, 2 am on the US East Coast.)
  • You may take the surveys in several sittings provided you use the same browser and keep the cookies Qualtrics uses to track your progress.
  • Round 8 Prediction Market will be available from Monday, June 8, 12:00 UTC until Monday, June 22, 06:00 UTC (Monday, 2 am on the US East Coast).