Welcome to Round 7!

In this round, we examine 330 claims (published 2009-2018) from 23 journals:

Academy of Management Journal
American Economic Review
American Educational Research Journal
American Political Science Review
American Sociological Review
Child Development
Comparative Political Studies
Computers & Education
Contemporary Educational Psychology
Demography
European Sociological Review
Exceptional Children
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Journal of Educational Psychology
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
Journal of Financial Economics
Journal of Political Economy
Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Management Science
Psychological Medicine
Review of Financial Studies
The Journal of Finance
The Leadership Quarterly

Prediction surveys and prediction markets have different advantages. We open each Round with surveys to get your baseline opinion before interactions in the markets influence your evaluation.

Round 7 Survey People
Prizes

Round 7 Surveys will pay $5,280. That’s 160 for each of 33 batches of surveys, as $80 / $40 / $20 / $20 for the Top 4 forecasters in each batch.

The more batches of surveys you complete, the more you are eligible to win. Round 7 Survey winners will be announced after Round Markets close later this month. (Markets pay out separately, and not until later in 2020. For more details, read Explanation of Payouts.

Where do I find the surveys?
  1. Log in to the market here: https://predict.replicationmarkets.com.
  2. Your assigned surveys will appear on your page, underneath the banner with directions. Only forecasters who have completed the required intake survey will have assigned surveys.
  3. To be eligible to win prize money, you must complete at least one batch of surveys.
  4. If you want to be eligible for more prizes, complete more batches of surveys. After you complete your first batch of surveys, another batch will appear on your page. Only complete the number of surveys that you want to complete.
Timeline for Round 6
  • Round 7 surveys are available from now, Monday, May 4, 12:00 UTC until Monday, May 11, 06:00 UTC. (Sunday, 11pm on the US East Coast.)
  • You may take the surveys in several sittings provided you use the same browser and keep the cookies Qualtrics uses to track your progress.
  • Round 7 Prediction Market will be available from Monday, May 11, 12:00 UTC until Monday, May 25, 06:00 UTC (Sunday, 11pm on the US East Coast).