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You can bet on it.
Per our 16-NOV-2021 announcement, SCORE replication markets had 121 resolutions: 79 regular & 30 covid replications, plus 12 meta-claims. We contacted the 258 winners to claim $142,623 in prizes, and this has now closed. Thanks to our forecasters for hard work, and to DARPA SCORE for the generous funding.
~C. Twardy, PI
03-Feb-2022
The resolutions for the prediction market for the 400 preprints related to COVID-19 have been finalized, and prizes have been calculated.
Winners have been notified by email at the address registered with the username on the Replication Markets platform.
RM is done, but our research continues at the Science Prediction Markets Project.
You may also like BITSS’ Social Science Prediction Platform.
RM does not plan to run any forecasts in 2021. We will resolve outstanding claims, pay prizes, and analyze the results.
The rest of the page is left as it was, for archival purposes.
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In 2016, a study showed you should put healthy food on the left side of your plate.
At least $4,000 in payouts each month shared by top forecasters
Our forecasters have vigorous intellects.
At RM, we engage in debate and discussion about the validity of published findings.
Our forecasters care about the greater good.
At RM, we contribute to the movement to improve research standards in the social and behavioral sciences.
Our forecasters enjoy a competition of wits.
At RM, we put our knowledge, instincts, and abilities to the test against published academics, established experts, and each other.
Our forecasters earn money for being right.
At RM, our reward for accurate insights is cold, hard cash.
You will be a participant in our research study. We collect data about your predictions for a project called SCORE (Systematizing Confidence in Open Research and Evidence).
You will help us evaluate social and behavioral science claims in a way that is systematic, fair, and transparent.
SCORE will train machine learning models to predict the validity of future research studies.
Jacobs partners with researchers from the above institutions.
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